2019年新东方在线考试托福真题及答案

 

　　There were two widely divergent influences on the early development of statistical methods. Statistics had a mother who was dedicated to keeping orderly records of governmental units (state and statistics come from the same Latin root, status) and a gentlemanly gambling father who relied on mathematics to increase his skill at playing the odds in games of chance. The influence of the mother on the offspring, statistics, is represented by counting, measuring, describing, tabulating, ordering. and the taking of censuses —— all of which led to modern descriptive statistics. From the influence of the father came modern inferential statistics, which is based squarely on theories of probability.

 

　　Descriptive statistics involves tabulating, depicting, and describing collections of data. These data may be quantitative, such as measures of height, intelligence, or grade level - variables that are characterized by an underlying continuum - orthe data may represent qualitative variables, such as sex, college major, or personality type. Large masses of data must generally undergo a process of summarization or reduction before they are comprehensible. Descriptive statistics is a tool for describing or summarizing or reducing to comprehensible form the properties of an otherwise unwieldy mass or data. Inferential statistics is a formalized body of methods for solving another class of　problems that present great difficulties for the unaided human mind. This general class of problems characteristically involves attempts to make predictions using a sample of observations. For example, a school superintendent wishes to determine the proportion of children in a large school system who come to school without 

 

breakfast, have been vaccinated for flu, or whatever. Having a little knowledge of statistics, the superintendent would know that it is unnecessary and inefficient to question each child; the proportion for the entire district could be estimated fairly accurately from a sample of as few as l00 children. Thus, the purpose of inferential statistics is to predict or estimate characteristics of a population from a knowledge of the characteristics of only a sample of the population.

 

　　1. With what is the passage mainly concerned ?

 

　　(A) The drawbacks of descriptive and inferential statistics

 

　　(B) Applications of inferential statistics

 

　　(C) The development and use of statistics

 

　　(D) How to use descriptive statistics

 

　　2. The word "divergent" in line 1 is closest in meaning to

 

　　(A) different

 

　　(B) distributed

 

　　(C) recorded

 

　　(D) prominent

 

　　3. According to the first paragraph, counting and census-taking arc associated with

 

　　(A) inferential statistics

 

　　(B) descriptive statistics

 

　　(C) unknown variables

 

　　(D) qualitative changes

 

　　4. Why does the author mention the "mother" and "father" in the first paragraph?

 

　　(A) To point out that parents can teach their children statistics

 

　　(B) To introduce inferential statistic

 

　　(C) To explain that there are different kinds of variables

 

　　(D) To present the background of statistics in a humorous and understandable way

 

　　5. The word "squarely" in line 8 could best be replaced by

 

　　(A) solidly

 

　　(B) geometrically

 

　　(C) rectangularly

 

　　(D) haphazrardly

 

　　6. Which of the following is NOT given an example of a qualitative variable?

 

　　(A) Gender

 

　　(B) Height

 

　　(C) College major

 

　　(D) Type of personality

 

　　7. The word "they" in line 13 refers to

 

　　(A) variables

 

　　(B) masses

 

　　(C) descriptive statistics

 

　　(D) properties

 

　　8. Which of the following statements about descriptive statistics is best supported by the

 

　　passage?

 

　　(A) It reduces large amounts of data to a more comprehensible form.

 

　　(B) It is based on probability.

 

　　(C) It can be used by people with little knowledge of mathematics.

 

　　(D) It measures only qualitative differences.

 

　　9. The word "unwieldy" in line 15 is closest in meaning to

 

　　(A) unmanageable

 

　　(B) unpredictable

 

　　(C) understandable

 

　　(D) unreliable

 

　　10. According to the passage, what is the purpose of examining a sample of a population?

 

　　(A) To compare different groups

 

　　(B) To predict characteristics of the entire population

 

　　(C) To detect differences not observable in the whole population

 

　　(D) To compile more accurate data

 

2019年新东方在线考试托福真题及答案。分隔结构一般包括：定语从句，同位语从句，分词结构(现在分词、过去分词及不定式)，大的介词短语结构。分隔结构一旦在空格之后出现，则成为该空格的答案的线索源泉;而如这些分隔中本身有空格，则应该从分隔前的结构中寻找解题的信息。